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Elevated CO2 in oceans could cause extreme El Nino events, may not rise above 2°C - IPCC report
Oct 12, 2015
Focusing on the ocean, the most complex component of the climate system, the study examines the influence of warming on the CO2 concentrations in the global oceans. "Oceans absorb about half the heat that is trapped by greenhouse gas emissions," says Dominik Schmitt, member of the expert group.
The results are surprising: oceans can absorb up to one third more heat than previously estimated, reaching a total of 0.35 W/m² at the surface. A certain influence of greenhouse gases on the ocean seems to be possible.
"When temperatures on land warm up, they raise the heat capacity of the ocean, which is the most extensive part of the system," says David Carlson, leader of the study, co-chair of the expert group. "This is an important result, because it challenges the common assumption that the oceans are a buffer between the atmosphere and the climate system."
"This is not a climate-related question, but it is one of the most basic questions," explains Schmitt. "Warming of the atmosphere affects the temperature of the ocean. If the temperature of the ocean is higher, more heat is stored in the oceans than otherwise." "But how large is the influence of greenhouse gases on ocean temperature?" In the oceans, the average temperature is about 0.8 °C warmer than on land. The authors of the study assume that this temperature difference could be caused by a 0.2°C increase in sea surface temperature. "However, this assumes that CO2 concentrations in the atmosphere and in the oceans are constant," explains Dominik Schmitt.
The analysis only considers a certain influence of carbon dioxide. In climate science, a distinction is made between the radiative forcing - an influence of a greenhouse gas on the climate system - and the climate feedback - the influence of this greenhouse gas on the climate system. "The situation is the same for many gases," Schmitt points out. "There are feedbacks which increase the sensitivity of the climate system to greenhouse gas increases and other feedbacks that decrease the sensitivity. Most of the atmosphere is transparent to 3125841983

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